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Current WCRP Cross-Cutting Topics:. Monsoons Seasonal and Decadal Forecasting Sea-Level Change (Atm.) Chemistry and Climate Anthropogenic Climate Change Extreme Events International Polar Year. Forthcoming WCRP Initiative on Climate Extremes Possible topics:
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Current WCRP Cross-Cutting Topics: • Monsoons • Seasonal and Decadal Forecasting • Sea-Level Change • (Atm.) Chemistry and Climate • Anthropogenic Climate Change • Extreme Events • International Polar Year
Forthcoming WCRP Initiative on Climate Extremes Possible topics: • Observational requirements, data analysis and assimilation, including assessment of analysis products as to how well they depict extremes. • Modelling and assessment of global model outputs, regional modelling, and predictability • How extremes are changing • Capacity building/ transition to operations
Specific proposal for MetOcean group “fast-track” initiative: climate change impact on offshore industry Workshop Feb-Apr 2008 (WMO Secretariat, Geneva)? Scoping paper with draft before the workshop Possible workshop follow-on
Workshop Feb-Apr 2008, possible topics from the climate science side: • Expected changes in extratropical storms • Expected changes in tropical storms • Expected changes in polar oceans and sea-ice • Sea-level rise: current pace, uncertainties, and projections • Wind wave regimes in a new climate • Uncertainties in climate projections, predictability of climate extremes • Statistical nature of climate data PDFs: how to estimate long return values and risk factors? • New anticipated climate products • Future regional climate: downscaling, uncertainties • Future climate extremes: institutional framework