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Puerto Rico Coastal Zone Management Program

Department of Natural and Environmental Resources. Puerto Rico Coastal Zone Management Program. Earth Observation Support for Sustainable Tourism in Small Island States March 9-11, 2011, Puerto Rico. Puerto Rico Coastal Zone Management Program. Mission:

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Puerto Rico Coastal Zone Management Program

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  1. Department of Natural and Environmental Resources Puerto Rico Coastal Zone Management Program Earth Observation Support for Sustainable Tourism in Small Island StatesMarch 9-11, 2011, Puerto Rico

  2. Puerto Rico Coastal Zone Management Program Mission: The Puerto Rico Coastal Management Program (PRCZMP) is a partnership led by the Department of Natural and Environmental Resources (DNER) to promote the protection, conservation, and sustainable development of Puerto Rico’s coastal zone and coastal resources.

  3. Puerto Rico Coastal Zone Management Program Goals and Objectives: Develop guides for public and private development on the coastal zone; Conduct active management of coastal resources; Foster scientific research, education, stakeholders and resource users participation as means of promoting sustainable development of our coastal resources

  4. Puerto Rico Coastal Zone Management Program Key Priorities: Increase knowledge about trends of resource abundance and distribution. Increase understanding of interspecies and species-habitat relationships. Contribute to increase knowledge about climate change, sea level rise and their impact on terrestrial, coastal, marine natural and socioeconomic systems. Effectively address human use patterns that may affect resource sustainability and biodiversity. Protectcoastalwetlands and coral reefsystemsfromkeystressors. Conductcoastalcommunitiesvulnerabilityassessments and developadaptationstrategiestocurrenthazardsand climatechange.

  5. PRCZMP jurisdiction

  6. Sequential Geographic Analysis 1930-2010

  7. Puerto RicoRELEVANT STATISTICS Emerged land area: 9,497 km2 (3,508 mi ²) Territorial waters: 9 nm (10.35 stat. mi) Population: 3.9 million (26th U.S. largest ) Coastal Zone Population: 2.73 million (70%) / 40% urban land area GDP: ~$ 95.7 billion/yr Composition by sector (2009): • Manufacturing: 45.5% • Finance, insurance and real estate: 19% • Services: 12.8% (Tourism: 7%) • Government: 9.7% • Trade: 7.8% • Transportation and public utilities: 3.2% • Construction: 1.9% • Agriculture: 0.7% Source: PRPB and BGF 2010

  8. INFRASTRUCTURE WITHIN 1 KM OF THE COAST • Eight ports • Eight airports • Six power plants • 1,080 miles of sanitary infrastructure • 81 Industrial lots • 114 miles of primary roads

  9. Major Coral Reef Stressors • Climate Change • Land-based Sources of Pollution • Fisheries Impact • Disease • Recreational Overuse • Lack of Awareness

  10. Climate Change impacts on wetlands • Changes in temperature, rainfall, sea level rise and salinization would have an impact on plant species of tidal freshwater wetlands and migratory bird habitats. Plant species along rivers might be able to migrate to more inland areas. • The ability of wetlands to migrate inland to areas of decreasing tidal inundation along undeveloped shores is a way coastal wetlands can persist in spite of rising seas (Ross et al., 2000). • In many areas coastal development just above the extreme high tide line has limited or eliminated opportunities for wetland migration, a phenomenon that has been labeled “coastal squeeze” (Twilley, 2007). • As human development and climate change progress coastal resources and infrastructure become more vulnerable.

  11. MODELING ASSETS • CaRA and UPRM have jointly established the Alliance for Numerical Modeling and Coastal Forecast. The PRCMP of DNER contracted the Alliance to perform Coastal Zone inundation modeling using ADCIRC, SWAN and COULWAVE. • Storm surge-inundation modeling and analysis:: • J.Capella, J.Morell and J. Gonzalez, CaRA-UPRM, A. Mercado-UPRM, B. Blanton-Renaissance Institute, and Ernesto Díaz, DNER Coastal Management Office.

  12. Climate Change Project : Puerto Rico Coastal Zone Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Strategies

  13. Puerto Rico Climate Change Caucus (PRCCC)

  14. April 2011 August 2011 June 2012

  15. Geophysical and Chemical Scientific Knowledge: Scenario Building Israel Matos Dr. Fernando Gilbes-Santaella Dr. Martiza Barreto Dr. Julio Morell Dr. Jorge Capella Plan.Lyzaida Rodriguez Dr. Miguel Canals Juan González Dr. Jorge Corredor Prof. Aurelio Mercado Melissa Melendez Dr. Rafael Mendez Tejeda

  16. Dr. Jorge Ortiz Zayas Plan. Evelio Valeiras Dr. Ernesto Weil Dr. Richard Appeldoorn Plan. Wanda Crespo Dr. Miguel García Susan Silander Dr. Elvira Cuevas Dr. NildaJiménez Dr.EdwinHernández Dr. William Gould Dr.Ariel Lugo Dr.Clark Sherman Dr.Vance Vicente Dr.LisamarieCarrubba Carlos Diez Carmen González Marelisa Rivera Dr.RafaelJoglar Angel Dieppa Nina Garfield Dr. Craig Lilyestrom Ecology and Biodiversity

  17. Society and Economy Plan. Felix Aponte Lcdo. Graham Castillo RupertoChaparro Plan. Maria Juncos Damaris Lopez Rafael Mojica Dr.EddieLaboy Nieves Willie Ortiz Dr. Carlos Padin Aida Rosario Arq. José Terrasa Lcdo.David W. Roman Deborah Velázquez Dr. Roy Armstrong Dr. Joseph Vogel Graciela GarcíaMoliner Dr.Luis Santiago Dr.Walter Diaz WPI Student Team

  18. Communicating Climate Change and Coastal Hazards Maria Falcón Susan Soltero Astrid Green YazminDetrés Benito Pinto Tito Quintana Ernesto Torres Raimundo Espinoza Sara Justicia WPI Student Team

  19. Examples of Outputs from Stakeholder/Expert Workshops

  20. Steering Committee of the “Geophysical and Chemical Scientific Knowledge: Scenario Building” met in January to discuss historic trends and climate projections for Puerto Rico and the Caribbean Basin. • New CariCOOS storm surge + sea level rise mapping will be completed for the Coastal Adaptation Project (Modeling a 1 meter sea level rise with a category 2 hurricane). • Partnering with Dr. Jaime Collazo of North Carolina State University and Dr. Katherine Hayhoe of Texas Tech University will enable us to use statistical downscaling of AOGCMs for the Caribbean Basin, Puerto Rico and the USVI. • A qualitative/descriptive vulnerability assessment will be completed for all the agreed upon sectors by May 2011. • Stakeholder risk assessment workshops will be conducted in Spring/Summer 2011.

  21. A Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) for Puerto Rico will be developed by the PRCCC with DNER taking the lead in conjunction with Sea Grant Puerto Rico, University of Delaware, ITTF and CaRA. • The index will use social, ecological and socio-economic indicators to assess vulnerability of the 44 coastal municipalities. • Adaptation strategies will be developed by the PRCCC based on vulnerability levels and multisectoral consultations. • Resulting strategies will be submitted to Policy makers with broad scientific, planning, and stakeholders support.

  22. QUESTIONS?...NEXT STEPS…

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