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Closure of workshop ‘Extremes in a changing climate’

Closure of workshop ‘Extremes in a changing climate’. Follow-up (1 of 4). The ETCCDI will collect the workshop outcome and produce a WMO-CCL Guidance Statement on the question: “How to assess probabilities of extremes in a changing climate?”. Follow-up (2 of 4).

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Closure of workshop ‘Extremes in a changing climate’

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  1. Closure of workshop‘Extremes in a changing climate’ De Bilt, Thursday 15 May 2008

  2. Follow-up (1 of 4) • The ETCCDI will collect the workshop outcome and produce a WMO-CCL Guidance Statement on the question: “How to assess probabilities of extremes in a changing climate?” De Bilt, Thursday 15 May 2008

  3. Follow-up (2 of 4) • This guidance is targetted at NMSs around the world who need to deal with practical questions in climate change adaptation strategies (extremes tables / return periods for non-stationary conditions, etc.) De Bilt, Thursday 15 May 2008

  4. Follow-up (3 of 4) • Guidance will reflect that the best way to do this is still under debate, but we have seen many good presentations on issues like: • observed changes in extremes in the past • statistical tools to deal with nonstationarity & spatial extr. • how good can models simulate extremes? • how to analyse this, given scaling issues, etc. • including covariates is helpful • how to best use probabilistic future climate projections • … De Bilt, Thursday 15 May 2008

  5. Follow-up (4 of 4) • The EU-project ENSEMBLES will continue for another year, and extremes will be one of the important cross-cutting themes (www.ensembles-eu.org) De Bilt, Thursday 15 May 2008

  6. Presentations • We plan to make all workshop presentations available from the ETCCDI website (if the authors do not object) De Bilt, Thursday 15 May 2008

  7. Organization This workshop is jointly organized by the: • Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) of WMO-CCL, CLIVAR and JCOMM • EU-FP6 project ENSEMBLES, RT5(ENSEMBLE-based Predictions of Climate Changes and their Impacts) De Bilt, Thursday 15 May 2008

  8. Agenda for tomorrow morning √ √ √ De Bilt, Thursday 15 May 2008

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