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Real-Time PV Power Forecasting

Real-Time PV Power Forecasting. Alex Cronin , Associate Professor, Physics Antonio Lorenzo , Grad Student, Opt. Sci. Eric Betterton , Dept. Head, Atmo . Sci. Mike Leuthold , Meteorologist, Atmo . Sci. Chang Ki Kim , Post doc, Atmo . Sci. Ardeth Barnhart , Director, UA-REN

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Real-Time PV Power Forecasting

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  1. Real-Time PV Power Forecasting Alex Cronin, Associate Professor, Physics Antonio Lorenzo, Grad Student, Opt. Sci. Eric Betterton, Dept. Head, Atmo. Sci. Mike Leuthold, Meteorologist, Atmo. Sci. Chang Ki Kim, Post doc, Atmo. Sci. Ardeth Barnhart, Director, UA-REN Rey Granillo, Developer, UA-REN Will Holmgren Postdoctoral Research Assistant Department of Physics University of Arizona

  2. PV impact on TEP load Can we achieve high PV penetration and maintain grid stability? Maybe if we have reliable power forecasts!

  3. PV Power Variability 45 MW / 30 min 25 MW / 2 min 55 MW / 1 min on 9/26

  4. Predicting power using PV data

  5. Real-time data sources map + Black Mountain + Springerville

  6. TFS to UA 1 min warning Technicians for Sustainability Local PV installer UA Physics and Atmospheric Sciences

  7. TFS to UA 1 min warning TFS UA

  8. TFS to UA 1 min warning

  9. Network-based Forecasts Retrospective forecasts based on data from 100 rooftops Building system to do this in real-time

  10. Network-based Forecasts Retrospective forecasts based on data from 100 rooftops Building system to do this in real-time

  11. Hybrid forecasting

  12. Hybrid method for irradiance forecasting Hybrid forecasting utility integration PV Assets Map WRF Model Irradiance Sensors PV Power Forecast DG Metering Data Sky Cameras Forecast GUI For Utilities Utility Co. Operations Reserve Policy Marketing Resource Planning ACE Scenario Simulations

  13. ATMO Wind forecasting for TEP

  14. Solar forecasting for TEP Correct features, only wrong by 1 hour This is good!

  15. Real time clearness maps

  16. Website for TEP

  17. Website for TEP

  18. Website for TEP

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