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Nations Changing Demographic Environment

Nations Changing Demographic Environment. Wayne Hatcher Regional Director Census Bureau Charlotte, NC. NC SDC Meeting. Today I will discuss…. Changes & Trends that affect us all…. Population of 13 Colonies in 1790 – 3.9 Million. Similar to Population of Maricopa County, AZ today!.

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Nations Changing Demographic Environment

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  1. Nations Changing Demographic Environment Wayne Hatcher Regional Director Census Bureau Charlotte, NC NC SDC Meeting

  2. Today I will discuss….. • Changes & Trends that affect us all…

  3. Population of 13 Colonies in 1790 – 3.9 Million

  4. Similar to Population of Maricopa County, AZ today!

  5. What are Some Significant Trends that affect Census Work • Growth • Diversity • Aging Population • Other

  6. About…Ten years ago . . There were • 35,000,000 fewer Americans • 18,000,000 fewer Latinos in the U.S. • 20,000,000 fewer persons over 50 • 200,000,000 fewer cell phone subscribers

  7. Or….. • We Are Bigger! • We Are More Diverse • We Are Older • We Are More Connected

  8. North to South East to West Growth…….

  9. Banking Moves South • Bank of America and Wachovia in Charlotte…. • Citibank in NYC is the only major bank left in the North

  10. Auto Manufacturing Moves South • BMW in SC • Nissan in Alabama • GM & Peterbuilt to Texas • Saturn to Tennessee • Also, Honda, Hyundai, Toyota….

  11. Retirees Moving South Florida, NC and SC are destinations

  12. Population Growth 1990 - 2000

  13. National Population at 300,000,000 • 1967 – 200,000,000 • 2006 – 300,000,000

  14. Estimated Growth in NC 2000 - 2030 • More than 50% • 12,000,000 by 2030

  15. Third Migration – South & West 2000-2020 (Dr. Jim Taylor) • First Migration – West End of 17th Century • Second Migration – North & West Great Depression

  16. 35th Parallel

  17. Growth of 50 Million Persons over next 20 YearsBelow the 35th Parallel (Dr. Jim Taylor)

  18. Diversity Defined…..”All the ways in which we differ.”

  19. Diversity

  20. Diversity • Latino/Hispanics • Regional/Local Growth • Charlotte/Greensboro/Raleigh-Durham “Hypergrowth” Areas

  21. NC Hispanic Population Changes 1980-2005

  22. Three Counties in North Carolina With High Hispanic Population Gains Are….

  23. Number 3 - Guilford County, NC

  24. Number 2 - Wake County, NC

  25. Number 1 - Mecklenburg County, NC

  26. Summary Of High Hispanic Growth Counties NC 1980-2006

  27. Aging Population First Wave of 78 Million Baby Boomers Nearing Retirement

  28. Born 1946 - 1964 Baby Boom Generation

  29. 65 and Over Population • Today 1 out of 8 • 2020 (est.) 1 out of 6

  30. NC Population 50+ • Today 28% • 2020 34%

  31. NC Elderly (65+) 1990 – 2000 21% Increase

  32. NC Elderly (65+) 2000 – 2030 (est.) More than Double from 969,000 to 2,142,000

  33. Other Demographic Trends

  34. More People Live Alone • 1950 1 in 10 • Today 1 in 4

  35. Population Less Connected Socially • Decline in Memberships at Clubs, Lodges, etc. • More Solitary Activities • Fewer Group Activities • Longer Work Hours • Longer Commutes • Increased Use of Internet • Increased Use of Drive Through (restaurants/pharmacies)

  36. Housing Changes • Bigger houses on Smaller Lots with fewer people in the houses • More garages and bathrooms • More two story, fewer one story houses • More Condos • Housing built further & further from downtown

  37. Ten Years ago Google and Monster.com did Not Exist

  38. Ten years ago fewer than 40% of Americans had Internet Access . . . Compared to more than 70% today. Estimated that more than 212,000,000 Americans were “Internet Users” in 2007

  39. We were not at War

  40. Privacy concerns were not “Front Page” Issues • “PII’ was not in our census vocabulary

  41. Summary – What does all this mean to us? • Growth may mean more demand for Services. • Population Growth will be un-even in North Carolina. • People from different parts of the country may want different products, hours, services. • Diversity brings requirements for bilingual staff

  42. Summary – What does all this mean to us? • Products in Language • Rapidly increasing older population may have more free time. • Population is becoming more educated and more affluent which is good for Society.

  43. The World, the U.S., the Carolinasand your community are changing rapidly. To Flourish – Change with them!

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