Action Plan Summary
Major Categories of Action • Conservation • Generating Resources • Ensuring Adequacy • Demand Response • Smart Grid • Transmission • Bonneville • Monitoring Implementation • Analytical Capability • Fish and Power
Conservation Action Plan Summary • Acquire Cost-Effective Savings Identified • Ongoing Adaptive Management • Research Development & Confirmation
Acquire Cost-effective Savings Identified(Utilities, BPA, SBCs, NEEA, States) • Near-term savings targets (#1) • 1200 MWa over five years & sufficient funding • Develop plans for new initiatives (#2) • Market transformation not in NEEA plans (#3) • More MT than NEEA budget & strategic plan • Improve building codes & compliance (#4) • Support improved federal standards (#4) • Enhancements (#5 - #11) • Regulatory, RTF, BPA backstop, avoided cost, IRP
Adaptive Management(Utilities, BPA, ETO, NEEA, States) • Develop mechanisms to identify high-priority actions across the region (#12) • High-level forum • Periodic review & recommendations (NEET) • RTF-related (#13 - #16) • Review RTF from NEET • Systematic comparison of savings • Improve planning tracking reporting • Improve measurement & evaluation
Research Development & Confirmation(All) • Demonstration activity (#17) • Measure cost & savings • Programmatic approaches • Delivery mechanisms, implementation strategies, infrastructure needs • Market & technical research (#18) • New measure markets & technical • Load shape & capacity impacts • Regulatory recovery (#19)
Generating resource actions Acquire cost-effective generating resources when needed • Acquisition guidelines for energy, capacity or ancillary service needs • Facilitate development of smaller-scale low-carbon resources Ensure adequate system flexibility • Reduce demand for system flexibility • Expand access to existing system flexibility • Assess regional adequacy of system flexibility • Assess flexibility augmentation options
Generating resource actions Expand menu of low-carbon resources • Commercialize and confirm promising low-carbon resources • Review resource development incentives & mandates • Support efforts to develop CO2 sequestration options • Monitor development of other resources and technologies Support planning and decision-making • Conduct resource assessment • Plan for optimal development of the power system • Develop long-term synthetic hourly wind dataset
Ensuring Adequacy • Provide annual adequacy assessments • Review resource and load data • Review methodology and thresholds • Share information with other regions, especially WECC
Demand Response • Monitoring experience • Develop pilot programs • Assess potential as flexibility resource
Smart Grid • Monitor development • Develop demonstration programs • Assess potential applications
Transmission • Participate in WECC activities and assessment • Wind integration • Resource adequacy • Transmission planning and expansion • Track transmission expansion proposals and consider impact on the region • Assess transmission needs for wind development
Bonneville – Summary • Implementation of Council Plan and Program • Support regional scale conservation initiatives, facilitate utility efforts • Aggressively pursue institutional and business practice solutions to balancing needs • Take a broad look at possible sources of capacity and flexibility, if they are needed to meet its obligations • Complete regional dialogue contract implementation • Adjust for court rulings, if necessary seek legislative solution • Administrator’s discretion on DSI service: obtain reserves
Bonneville Actions – 1 • Implement the Council’s Power Plan • Meet Conservation goals • Targets: Ensure publics have incentives, support and flexibility to pursue appropriate conservation acquisition; fund conservation as Tier 1 obligation • Require reporting and verification • Offer flexible and workable programs, including backstop role for BPA • Support (fund and implement) regional activities, e.g., NEEA, RTF, NEET
Bonneville Actions – 2 • Capacity and flexibility • Aggressively pursue institutional and business practice solutions to balancing needs • Take a broad look at possible sources of capacity and flexibility, if they are needed to meet its obligations • If customers place load on BPA, financial risk of acquisitions should be placed on them • Preserve benefits of the FBS for the region • Meet its fish and wildlife obligations
Bonneville Actions – 3 • Implement policy choices made in tiered rates, signing long-term contracts and revising residential exchange program in ways allowing achievement of identified goals • Revise policy choices if necessary due to Ninth Circuit action, with regional input • Exercise discretion in considering DSI service, ensuring that Act’s required reserves are provided and focusing on potential for cost-effective ancillary service provision
Bonneville Actions – 4 • If policies for tiered rates, residential exchange (including ASC), long-term contracts, and related matters are struck down by Ninth Circuit, initiate regional efforts to revise or seek legislative solution if necessary to achieve policy goals of those efforts.
Monitoring • Ongoing monitoring of plan implementation • Monitoring conditions and assumptions for significant changes • Biennial Monitoring Report • Perform analysis as needed to assess the effects of changing conditions, data, or policies on the Power Plan
Enhancing Regional Data Capabilities • Work with NEEA, RTF and utilities to gather end-use consumption data • Improve consumption data availability for the irrigation and industrial sectors • Improve access to hourly load data from balancing authorities • Work with NEEA, RTF and utilities to identify and fill regional “data holes” identified through NEET and other processes:
Analytical Capability • Maintain and enhance forecasting and planning models • Expand the capabilities of the load forecasting system • Refine the Regional Portfolio Model and increase tools for interpreting and analyzing the results • Update the Aurora model of Western electricity markets • Enhance the Genesys model of the PNW power system and test new approaches • Develop a methodology to better assess hydroelectric sustained peaking capability
Fish and Power • Facilitate a process for long-term integrated fish and power planning discussions • Develop contingency plans • Maintain and enhance analytical capability • Monitor status of Columbia River Treaty • Keep abreast of climate change science
Additions & Replacements
Bonneville • Bonneville should implement the policy decisions it has made in the areas of tiered rates, the long-term contracts, the Residential Exchange Program, including the Average System Cost Methodology, and other areas as yet unresolved, such as service to the DSIs. • Bonneville should work with region if these decisions are overturned by the Ninth Circuit. • If Bonneville acquires resources to serve, for example, its Tier 1 loads, Tier 2 loads, and perhaps the DSIs, those resources should be consistent with the Council’s power plan. • Aggressively pursue institutional and business practice solutions to balancing needs • Take a broad look at possible sources of capacity and flexibility, if they are needed to meet its obligations • Bonneville should implement its commitment to acquire all cost-effective conservation. • Bonneville should implement the Council’s fish and wildlife program.
Enhancing Regional Data Capabilities • Work with NEEA, RTF and utilities to gather end-use consumption data: • A common survey and data gathering instrument • Develop the requirements for a data clearinghouse • Develop the data gathering cycles for each sector/measure • A coordinated data gathering implementation plan for 2010-2015
Maintain and Improving Analytical Capability • Improve consumption data availability for the irrigation and industrial sectors • Improve access to hourly load data from balancing authorities • Work with NEEA, RTF and utilities to identify and fill regional “data holes” identified through NEET and other processes: • End-use hourly load shapes • Energy use for ICE end-uses • Panel Data for residential and small commercial, especially elder care facilities. • Develop a methodology to better assess hydroelectric sustained peaking capability
