Modeling Evolution: The Wright-Fisher Model
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Modeling Evolution: The Wright-Fisher Model. Rick Stuart and Samantha Biehl. Introduction to Evolution. Change over time Natural Selection Variation Inheritance Differential Survival Alleles Dominant Recessive. Introduction to Evolution. Genetic Drift Extinction Fixation
Modeling Evolution: The Wright-Fisher Model
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Modeling Evolution: The Wright-Fisher Model Rick Stuart and Samantha Biehl
Introduction to Evolution • Change over time • Natural Selection • Variation • Inheritance • Differential Survival • Alleles • Dominant • Recessive
Introduction to Evolution • Genetic Drift • Extinction • Fixation • Increasing variability • Migration • Mutation • Fitness
The Basic Wright-Fisher Model • Stochastic model • Genetic drift • Finite population • Allele frequencies • Two or more alleles
Definition of Variables • Number of individuals • Number of alleles (type A and B) • Number of type A alleles at step • Number of type B alleles at step • Number of type A alleles at step • Probability of getting type A allele • Probability of getting type B allele
The Basic Wright-Fisher Model • Probability of having A alleles • Markov Chain • The transition matrix T
The Basic Wright-Fisher Model • Absorbing States • All type B • All type A • Once in absorbing state, will stay in that state • Given enough time, will enter one of the absorbing states • Extinction • Fixation
The Basic Wright-Fisher Model • Binomial distribution • By induction it can be shown , for all
The Basic Wright-Fisher Model • This makes the process a bounded martingale • Bounded martingale property, converges as
The Basic Wright-Fisher Model • simulations • trials • , (A allele) • Expect number of A alleles to fixate • Simulations results • Mean of fixations per trials
The Basic Wright-Fisher Model • Assumptions • Generations do not overlap • Population size remains constant • No mutation or recombination occurring • Gender of individuals ignored • Familial ties ignored • No selection pressure acting
The Basic Wright-Fisher Model Individuals or Alleles Randomly choose A B B A B A B A B B B A A A A A B B B A A
The Basic Wright-Fisher Model Individuals or Alleles Alleles from step are randomly chosen to produce alleles in step A B B A B A B A B B B A A A A A B B B A A A A B B A A A B A B A B A A A A B B B
The Wright-Fisher Model with Fitness Individuals or Alleles A B B A B A B A B B B A A A A A B B B A 0 1 CRV
The Wright-Fisher Model with Fitness10 Simulations, 2N=20 wa=1.0 wb=0.9
The Wright-Fisher Model with FitnessSimulations, wa=1.00 wb=0.95
The Wright-Fisher Model with FitnessSimulations, wa=1.00 wb=0.95
Wright-Fisher with Fitness and Mutation • Wright-Fisher model with fitness • Mutation rate • Mutation fitness • Unique, random • Simple model of natural selection
Wright-Fisher with Fitness and Mutation Individuals or Alleles A B B A B A H A B B B A A A D D B B B A 0 1 CRV
Wright-Fisher with Fitness and Mutation10 Simulations, 2N=100
Conclusion • Objective • Study a stochastic model and report findings • Basic Wright-Fisher Model • Genetic drift • Modifications • Fitness • Competition of alleles • Mutation • Natural selection • Variation
References • “Genetic Drift.” Wikipedia: The Free Encyclopedia. 3 May 2013. Web. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic_drift • "Martingale Convergence Theorem.” Planetmath.org. N.p., n.d. Web. 06 May 2013. http://planetmath.org/martingaleconvergencetheorem • Mitrofanova, Antonina. "Lecture 2: Absorbing States in Markov Chains. Mean Time to Absorption. Wright-Fisher Model. Moran Model." Lecture. Lecture Notes. NYU, Department of Computer Science, New York. 18 Dec. 2007. Web. http://cs.nyu.edu/mishra/COURSES/09.HPGP/scribe2