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Visioning Alternatives in the Sacramento Region

Visioning Alternatives in the Sacramento Region. Lake Arrowhead Conference October 14, 2007 Mike McKeever SACOG Executive Director. Sacramento Area Council of Governments. 6 counties 22 cities 2.2 million people. How to Best Manage Growth?. An Aging Population.

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Visioning Alternatives in the Sacramento Region

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  1. Visioning Alternatives in the Sacramento Region Lake Arrowhead Conference October 14, 2007 Mike McKeever SACOG Executive Director

  2. Sacramento Area Council of Governments 6 counties 22 cities 2.2 million people

  3. How to Best Manage Growth?

  4. An Aging Population Data from Center for the Continuing Study of the California Economy

  5. Housing Preferences – 55 and over moving in 1 to 5 years (Robert Charles Lessor survey, 2003) • 34% want attached product • 32% want detached small lot single family • 32% want detached large lot single family

  6. New Home Product Mix – Growth through 2050

  7. Adjustments for Economic Realities? • Today 38% rent • In survey, 25% say their next move will be “rental” • Average expected home purchase price is $214,000 • How much should we: • Plan products they can afford to buy?.. vs. • Assume the will continue to have to rent

  8. Base CaseUrban Footprint — 2050 Total1,058 Sq. Mi.

  9. PreferredScenarioUrban Footprint — 2050 Total701 Sq. Mi.

  10. Urban Footprint — 2035 Total324 Sq. Mi.

  11. Regional Poll, 2004 (Wirthlin Worldwide): Growth Dominates List of Issues What would you say is the most important issue facing the Sacramento region at this time? (results among total sample)

  12. Overall, Current Feeling About Growth Is Negative Based on what you know, would you say this growth will be generally a good thing or a bad thing for quality of life in this area?

  13. Preserve open space Transportation choices Use existing assets Jobs closer to where people live Offer housing choices Distinctive, quality design Manage real growth boundaries Encourage compact development Mixed land uses Growth Principles Tested Positive or negative impact on quality of life?Positive or negative impact on your retirement years?

  14. All Principles Seen As Having Positive Impact Positive RetirementNegative Quality of Life Positive RetirementPositive Quality of Life Negative RetirementNegative Quality of Life Negative RetirementPositive Quality of Life

  15. Attitudes Change if Principles Followed -46 +27 37-point jump in “good thing”

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