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Advanced Aviation Weather Forecasting Tools for the South Pole

This document outlines essential aviation weather forecasting tools and methodologies for operations at the South Pole. It includes the Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) based on USAF coding practices, detailing codes such as NZSP TAF 0323/0423. A variety of forecasting tools, including TeraScan imagery, dual L- and X-band systems, and the AMPS mesoscale modeling system, are highlighted for their utility in providing accurate forecasts. Proper visibility and ceiling thresholds are also specified to support effective aviation operations in the challenging polar environment.

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Advanced Aviation Weather Forecasting Tools for the South Pole

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  1. Aviation weather forecasting tools for South Pole Prepared by: Trish Bednarczk, Bill Brown, Bryan Burden, Al Hay, Rolf Hennig and Joe Kramer Scientific Research Corporation, North Charleston, SC

  2. Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) • TAF based on the USAF coding practices of the WMO Aerodrome Forecast • Code, FM 51, (Terminal Aerodrome Forecast) code NZSP TAF 0323/0423 (0412/0512NZDT) 01012KT 9000 IC FEW010 QNH2889INS GRID01012KT BECMG 0402/0404 (0415/0417) 35005KT 2400 IC BR BKN010 QNH2885INS GRID35005KT • Disseminated via e-mail to USAP and its Participating Partners • (format as above) • Disseminated to GTS via AFTN without local coding requirements • Ceiling thresholds: 3000, 1000, 500 and <300 feet • Visibility thresholds: 4800, 3200, 1600 and <1600 meters

  3. Forecast Tools • Primary tool • Images from McMurdo • TeraScan system • Dual L- and X-band • system • Can combine images • from DMSP and POES • satellites into one file • and animate • Axis of dilatation or • convergence zones

  4. Forecast Tools

  5. Forecast Tools

  6. Forecast Tools AMPS

  7. Summary • Basic forecast tools, i.e. high quality Met Sat imagery, upper-air analysis application, and an excellent mesoscale modeling system in AMPS can provide an experienced polar weather forecaster with the requisite tools to produce a good aviation forecast to support aviation operations at South Pole.

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