'Gridded mos' diaporamas de présentation

Use of Statistical Methods in Operational Forecasting

786 views • 65 slides

Use of Statistical Methods in Operational Forecasting

655 views • 65 slides

Something Old and Something Revolutionary: Introduction to Gridded Model Output Statistics (MOS)

Something Old and Something Revolutionary: Introduction to Gridded Model Output Statistics (MOS). Dr. William R. Bua Project Scientist, UCAR/COMET. Acknowledgements. Paul Dallavalle, Mark Antolik, and Bob Glahn for powerpoints and publications

677 views • 60 slides

Model Post Processing

Model Post Processing. Model Output Can Usually Be Improved with Post Processing. Can remove systematic bias Can produce probabilistic information from deterministic information and historical performance.

581 views • 58 slides

Model Post Processing

Model Post Processing. Model Output Can Usually Be Improved with Post Processing. Can remove systematic bias Can produce probabilistic information from deterministic information and historical performance.

583 views • 58 slides

Model Post Processing

Model Post Processing. Model Output Can Usually Be Improved with Post Processing. Can remove systematic bias Can produce probabilistic information from deterministic information and historical performance.

528 views • 52 slides

Model Post Processing

Model Post Processing. Model Output Can Usually Be Improved with Post Processing. Can remove systematic bias Can produce probabilistic information from deterministic information

515 views • 51 slides

Model Post Processing

Model Post Processing. Model Output Can Usually Be Improved with Post Processing. Can remove systematic bias Can produce probabilistic information from deterministic information

482 views • 48 slides

Model Post Processing

Model Post Processing. Model Output Can Usually Be Improved with Post Processing. Can remove systematic bias Can produce probabilistic information from deterministic information

485 views • 48 slides

Post Processing

Post Processing. Model Output Can Usually Be Improved with Post Processing. Can remove systematic bias Can produce probabilistic information from deterministic information

699 views • 47 slides

Post Processing

Post Processing. Model Output Can Usually Be Improved with Post Processing. Can remove systematic bias Can produce probabilistic information from deterministic information

475 views • 47 slides

MOS Developed by and Run at the NWS Meteorological Development Lab (MDL)

MOS Developed by and Run at the NWS Meteorological Development Lab (MDL). Full range of products available at: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/index.php. Global Ensemble MOS.

382 views • 38 slides

GRIDDED MOS TECHNIQUES, STATUS, AND PLANS

GRIDDED MOS TECHNIQUES, STATUS, AND PLANS. Bob Glahn J. Paul Dallavalle 18 th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences Atlanta 2006. Definition. MOS: A statistical interpretation of model output in terms of (surface) weather

438 views • 37 slides

443 views • 37 slides

MOS Developed by and Run at the NWS Meteorological Development Lab (MDL)

MOS Developed by and Run at the NWS Meteorological Development Lab (MDL). Full range of products available at: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/index.php. Global Ensemble MOS.

355 views • 35 slides

MOS Performance

MOS Performance. MOS significantly improves on the skill of model output. National Weather Service verification statistics have shown a narrowing gap between human and MOS forecasts. Global Ensemble MOS.

527 views • 34 slides

MOS Performance

MOS Performance. MOS significantly improves on the skill of model output. National Weather Service verification statistics have shown a narrowing gap between human and MOS forecasts. Global Ensemble MOS.

343 views • 34 slides

Updated Thunderstorm Probability Forecast Guidance in Support of Gridded Model Output Statistics

Updated Thunderstorm Probability Forecast Guidance in Support of Gridded Model Output Statistics. NWA Annual Meeting, Cleveland, OH October 16, 2006 E-mail: Kathryn.Gilbert@noaa.gov. Current State of Ensemble MOS.

311 views • 17 slides

Essential Components of the MOS Process

Essential Components of the MOS Process. Verify Respond. Observe. Develop/ Evaluate. Archive. Distribute. NWP Model. Post-Process MOS. Statistical Post-Processing. Advantages Removal of systematic model bias Reliable probabilities from a single run

313 views • 16 slides