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Wind Energy Feasibility Analysis for Coastal Residential Property in Humboldt County, CA

This report evaluates the feasibility of wind energy for a coastal residential property in Humboldt County, CA, seeking a risk analysis and turbine recommendation. Utilizing 54 years of wind speed data, we analyze optimal turbine options, focusing on the General Electric 1.5S turbine. The study includes probability assessments of annual earnings and payback time, as well as net gain and return on investment metrics. Key recommendations will guide the client towards sustainable energy solutions tailored for the region's conditions.

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Wind Energy Feasibility Analysis for Coastal Residential Property in Humboldt County, CA

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Presentation Transcript

  1. Wind Energy Feasibility Taylor R. Edwards

  2. Scenario • Client seeking risk analysis and turbine recommendation • Coastal residential property • Humboldt County, CA • PG&E http://edcallaert.photoshelter.com/image/I0000XV7mSClolgw

  3. Procedure

  4. Wind Turbines Tested

  5. Wind Speed Data • Data • 54 years of data • Recorded at 10 meters • Average speed 6.6 m/s • Foreign data

  6. Wind Speed to Energy Produced

  7. Energy to Money http://sfbayview.com/2011/pge-disregards-precautionary-principle-with-smart-meters/ http://reich-chemistry.wikispaces.com/Mann.+McLaughlin

  8. Probability of Annual Earning

  9. Probability of Annual Earning • Wind turbines are compared using individual annual earnings that are found to have a 90% probability of being exceeded.

  10. Probability Density Function • Type I Extremal

  11. Feasibility Measurements • Payback time • Net gain on investment • Return on investment (ROI) • Rate of return (ROR)

  12. ROI & ROR • Return on Investment • Rate of Return

  13. Results

  14. Results

  15. Results

  16. General Electric 1.5S • 1,500 kW turbine is most suitable • Compare other 1,500 kW turbines • Micon NM82, Nordex S70 http://www.ge-energy.com/products_and_services/products/wind_turbines/ge_1.5_77_wind_turbine.jsp

  17. Results

  18. Results

  19. Results

  20. Next Steps • In-depth economic analysis • Probability of payback time, net gain

  21. m

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