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Fifth TWG I Meeting : Energy Policy Analysis

Fifth TWG I Meeting : Energy Policy Analysis. Oetomo Tri Winarno Grand Candi Hotel - Semarang 11 July 2011. Agenda. Opening and introduction Presentation by Pusdatin Presentation by regional team How to develop RUED Integration of TWG reports Discussion

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Fifth TWG I Meeting : Energy Policy Analysis

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  1. Fifth TWG I Meeting: Energy Policy Analysis Oetomo Tri Winarno Grand CandiHotel - Semarang 11 July 2011

  2. Agenda • Opening and introduction • Presentation by Pusdatin • Presentation by regional team • How to develop RUED • Integration of TWG reports • Discussion • Work plan for the coming months

  3. Review of TWG 2 Activities Bandung Meeting 1st Meeting 2nd Meeting 3rd Meeting 4th Meeting 8 Feb 2010 27 May 2010 21 Oct 2010 22 Dec 2010 29 Nov 2009 National Seminar 1 Mar 2011 28 May 2011 Jul 2011 Sep 2011 TWG II Submission Bandung Meeting 5th Meeting 6th Meeting

  4. Deadline in the Proposal TWG II • D25 renewable energy action plan (end of 2010) TWG I • D21 energy profile (end of 2009) • D22 energy profile (end of 2010) • D23 energy profile (end of 2011) • D28 energy outlook, including the pro-poor strategies (mid 2011) • D26 activities aimed at lower level authorities (???)

  5. Finalization of D21, D22, D23 • Technical Proposal: • Report: in English & Bahasa Indonesia • Does not mentioned the format of the report: softcopy or hardcopy ?? • I propose: • Hardcopy for all Casindo stakeholders (ECN, Pusdatin, ETCERE, DJ EBTKE, ITB, 5 regions, Dinas, etc.) • Content: • D21 & D22 : tables • D23 : tables & narration

  6. Outline D23 1.General information of province 2008 1.1 Geographic and political 1-2 pages 1.2 Socio-economic 1.2.1 Population (plus trend 2005- 2008) 2-3 pages 1.2.2 Economy (overall + per (sub)sector plus trend 2005-2008) 5-7 pages 1.3 Energy resources (domestic) 2 .Energy Balance 2.1 Final energy consumption 2.1.1 Final energy consumption by sector (plus trend 2005- 2008) 5-7 pages 2.1.2 Final energy consumption per energy (plus trend 2005- 2008) 3 pages 2.2 Energy transformation 2.2.1 Electricity production (PLN- non PLN; plus trend 2005- 2008) 2-3 pages 2.2.2 Others (refinery, … when applicable) 1-2 pages 2.3 Energy supply (domestic plus imports/exports) (plus trend 2005- 2008) 2.3.1 solid fuels 1-2 pages 2.3.2 liquid fuels 3-4 pages 2.3.3 gas 1-2 pages 2.3.4 biomass and other renewables 3-4 pages

  7. Outline D23 2.4 Energy and commodity balance 2.4.1 commodity balance 1-2 pages 2.4.2 energy balance 1-2 pages 3. Data sources and assumptions 3 1 data sources 1-2 pages 3.2 assumptions 1-2 pages 3.3 main methodology changes with energy profile 2005 1-2 pages Annex Commodity balance Energy Balance Tables and graphs from Excel file

  8. How to Develop RUED • New KEN have not launch yet • RUEN will launch after New KEN • RUEN guideline is still in process • D28 will refer to RUEN guideline (not estab’d)

  9. RUEN – RUED Flow Kebijakan EnergiNasional Penetapan RUEN DEN Okt Rancangan AwalRUEN Rancangan RUEN KESDM c.q. Setjen Jan Sep Rancangan AwalRUED - TP Rancangan RUED - TP Penetapan RUED - TP Propinsi Mar Jul Nov Rancangan RUED - TK Penetapan RUED - TK Kabupaten/ Kota Mei Des

  10. D28 (RUED) Outline BAB IV EMISI DARI SEKTOR ENERGI 4.1 Emisi CO2 dari Pengguna Akhir 4.2 Emisi CO2 dari Pembangkitan Listrik 4.3 Emisi CO2 dari Pertambangan Migas dan Batubara 4.4 Emisi CO2 dari Industri Migas BAB V STRATEGI PELAKSANAAN 5.1 Sisi Permintaan 5.2 Sisi Penyediaan BAB I PENDAHULUAN 1.1 Kebijakan dan Perundangan 1.2 Tujuan 1.3 IndikatorPemakaianEnergi BAB II PRAKIRAAN PERMINTAAN ENERGI 2.1 Asumsi Model dan Parameter Skenario 2.2 PermintaanEnergi Final per Sektor 2.3 PermintaanEnergi Final per Jenis BAB III PERENCANAAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI 3.1 Minyakdan Gas Bumi 3.2 Kelistrikan 3.3 Batubara 3.4 Energi Baru dan Terbarukan

  11. D28 (RUED) Outline BAB IV EMISI DARI SEKTOR ENERGI 4.1 Emisi CO2 dari Pengguna Akhir 4.2 Emisi CO2 dari Pembangkitan Listrik 4.3 Emisi CO2 dari Pertambangan Migas dan Batubara 4.4 Emisi CO2 dari Industri Migas BAB V STRATEGI PELAKSANAAN 5.1 Sisi Permintaan 5.2 Sisi Penyediaan BAB I PENDAHULUAN 1.1 Kebijakan dan Perundangan 1.2 Tujuan 1.3 IndikatorPemakaianEnergi BAB II PRAKIRAAN PERMINTAAN ENERGI 2.1 Asumsi Model dan Parameter Skenario 2.2 PermintaanEnergi Final per Sektor 2.3 PermintaanEnergi Final per Jenis BAB III PERENCANAAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI 3.1 Minyakdan Gas Bumi 3.2 Kelistrikan 3.3 Batubara 3.4 Energi Baru dan Terbarukan TWG I TWG I TWG I TWG II TWG III TWG I TWG II TWG III TWG IV TWG V TWG I TWG II TWG III

  12. TWG I and Other TWGs D25 D24 TWG II TWG III TWG I Report on Renewable Energy Action Plan Report on Energy Conservation Action Plan D21 D22 D23 D28 LEAP Modeling D27 TWG IV Report on Energy Outlook (Regional Energy Planning) Report on Energy Supply Projects D26 TWG ?? Report on Activities at Kabupaten/Kota

  13. LEAP Modeling • Region categorization: • By province: Jateng, Sumut, Papua • By island: NTB • By regency/city: Yogya • Base year 2008 • Population: based on Sensus 2000 - 2010

  14. LEAP Modeling • Energy Profile • Energy consumption • Energy supply • LEAP Model • Overall energy supply demand outlook • Energy mix outlook (incl. RE) • Energy conservation scenario • RE Action Plan • RE data • RE planning & target • EC Action Plan • EC potential • EC planning & target

  15. TWG II in LEAP Model • Demand model • Demand of biofuel • Biomass for substituting oil fuel in industry • Supply model • Geothermal PP • Hydro PP • Wind PP • Solar PV • Biomass PP • Biofuel production • Combined fuel

  16. TWG III in LEAP Model • Only for demand side: • Household sector: detailed to end use • Commercial sector: ? • Industry sector: ? • Transport sector: ?

  17. TWG III in LEAP Model • Conservation step: • Behavioral change • Retrofitting the current equipment • Technology change

  18. Scenarios

  19. Work plan X : NTB, Yogya, Jateng X : Sumut, Papua

  20. Preparation of CASINDO National Seminar 26 October 2011 Session I on regional energy policy formulation • ITB : overview of approach & result • USU : energy efficiency master plan • UNCEN : renewable energy action plan • UMY : pro- poor energy strategy

  21. International Conference • International Conference and Exhibition on Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency • Date: 17 – 19 Oct 2011 • Place: Nusa Dua, Bali • Conducted by: WREC, KNI-WEC • Deadline for paper submission: end of July

  22. Thank You

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