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Returns to Style using Style Research’s Markets Analyzer

Returns to Style using Style Research’s Markets Analyzer. Latin America. End March 2011. International Experience. Style Investing works Value and Small Cap works long term Best Value Markets – China, Japan and Korea Most markets have small cap premium

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Returns to Style using Style Research’s Markets Analyzer

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  1. Returns to Styleusing Style Research’s Markets Analyzer Latin America End March 2011

  2. International Experience • Style Investing works • Value and Small Cap works long term • Best Value Markets – China, Japan and Korea • Most markets have small cap premium • High beta stocks do not generally perform well

  3. Overview • Value works long term • like in other markets • Cashflow to Price best over 10 years – 4.0% pa XS return • Market cap shows no clear trend • Unlike other markets • High Beta does not work • like other markets • Nothing works consistently • Top 10 inconsistent over different time periods

  4. Approach • Use Style Research’s Market Analyzer • Benchmark = market • All stocks with market cap of USD 100 million • Analysis after country & sector adjustment • Factor screen within countries and sectors • Eliminates country and sector bias • Rebalanced every 6 months • Repriced every month • Includes dividends

  5. Value

  6. Book to Price

  7. Dividend Yield

  8. Earnings Yield

  9. Cashflow Yield

  10. Sales to Price

  11. EBITDA to Price

  12. Growth

  13. Return on Equity

  14. Growth in Earnings per Share

  15. Income to Sales

  16. Sales Growth

  17. Forecast Earnings

  18. Forecast Earnings Revisions

  19. Other

  20. Market Cap

  21. Beta

  22. Price Momentum – 6 months

  23. Price Momentum – 12 months

  24. Quality

  25. Low Accrual

  26. Debt to Equity

  27. Stability of Earnings Growth

  28. Sustainable Growth Rate

  29. Stability of Sales Growth

  30. Stability of Forecast Earnings

  31. Returns to Style – last 10 yearsValue and Quality works! SA, annualised

  32. 10 year XS returns

  33. Weight: Market Cap, Rebal 6 mths Xs Return 4.0% pa T/over 55% pa

  34. Weight: Market Cap, Rebal 3 mths Xs Return 3.3% pa T/over 72% pa

  35. Weight: Earnings, Rebal 6 mths Xs Return 6.3% pa T/over 87% pa

  36. XS Monthly Return

  37. XS 3 Monthly Return

  38. Cash Flow XS Return 12 month Forecast

  39. overview • Value works long term • like in other markets • Cashflowto Price best over 10 years • Market cap shows no clear trend • unlike other markets • High Beta does not work • like other markets • Nothing works consistently • Top 10 inconsistent over different time periods • Rebalance and weighting schemes make a difference

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