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Bath University “ Global Food Security and Developing World Agriculture” Lord Ewen Cameron

Bath University “ Global Food Security and Developing World Agriculture” Lord Ewen Cameron. The Perfect Storm. World Population 2014 7 billion 2050 9.5 billion. The Perfect Storm. World Population 2014 7 billion

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Bath University “ Global Food Security and Developing World Agriculture” Lord Ewen Cameron

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  1. Bath University “Global Food Security and Developing World Agriculture”Lord Ewen Cameron

  2. The Perfect Storm • World Population 2014 7 billion 2050 9.5 billion

  3. The Perfect Storm • World Population 2014 7 billion 2050 9.5 billion • Growth in World GDP A rise of 400% by 2050

  4. World Population Growth Rate • Late 1960s 2.04% pa • 2010-2015 1.10% pa • 2025-2030 0.80% pa

  5. World Population Growth Rate • Late 1960s 2.04% pa • 2010-2015 1.10% pa • 2025-2030 0.80% pa • World Food Demand Growth Rate • 1969-1989 2.4% pa • 2010-2015 1.6% pa • 2015-2030 1.4%pa

  6. Global progress in nutrition: energy intake levels by percentage of the world's population, 1964-66 and 1997-99Source: FAO data

  7. The Perfect Storm • World Population 2010 6.8 billion 2050 9.4 billion • Growth in World GDP A rise of 400% by 2050 • Climate Change

  8. The Perfect Storm • World Population 2010 6.8 billion 2050 9.4 billion • Growth in World GDP A rise of 400% by 2050 • Climate Change • Water Problems

  9. GLOBAL RESOURCES The total volume of water on Earth is about 1.4 billion cubic kilometres, around 2.5 per cent of which is fresh. However, only around 200,000 cubic kilometres is usable by ecosystems and humans – less than one per cent of all freshwater resources. Freshwater resources Total water resources Source: Geographical April 2010

  10. WATER USE Agriculture is by far the greatest drain on the world’s water resources, with irrigation consuming as much as 2,500 cubic kilometres of water per year. By 2025, two thirds of the world population could be under water stress. Source: Geographical April 2010

  11. Irrigated agriculture, provides 40% of world food from 20% of the worlds agricultural land. • 90% of rice is grown using irrigation

  12. Irrigated agriculture, provides 40% of world food from 20% of the worlds agricultural land. • 90% of rice is grown using irrigation • By 2030 agriculture will need 45% more water • By 2025 40% of the world population will live in water scarce regions

  13. Aral Sea 1985 Aral Sea 2009

  14. Better drip irrigation • Better use of urban sewage • Better capture and storage • Better use of shallow aquifers • Short term use of deep aquifers

  15. Sub Saharan Africa 14% of the world’s population,

  16. Sub Saharan Africa 14% of the world’s population, 25% of its undernourished people

  17. Sub Saharan Africa 14% of the world’s population, 25% of its undernourished people Contains 23 of 30 least developed countries

  18. Sub Saharan Africa 14% of the world’s population, 25% of its undernourished people Contains 23 of 30 least developed countries 70% of the population depend on agriculture

  19. Sub Saharan Africa 14% of the world’s population, 25% of its undernourished people Contains 23 of 30 least developed countries 70% of the population depend on agriculture 70% of the farmers are women

  20. Sub Saharan Africa 14% of the world’s population, 25% of its undernourished people Contains 23 of 30 least developed countries 70% of the population depend on agriculture 70% of the farmers are women 12x the land area of India; 200 million less people

  21. . A 1% increase in agricultural GDP in Africa reduces poverty by 3 or 4 times as much as a 1% increase in non-agricultural GDP. The World Bank

  22. African Agriculture Needs • Better infrastructure

  23. African Agriculture Needs • Better infrastructure • Land Registration

  24. African Agriculture Needs • Better infrastructure • Land Registration • Financial Infrastructure

  25. African Agriculture Needs • Better Infrastructure • Land Registration • Financial Infrastructure • Better Research

  26. African Agriculture Needs • Better Infrastructure • Land Registration • Financial Infrastructure • Better Research • Better Knowledge and Training

  27. African Agriculture Needs • Better Infrastructure • Land Registration • Financial Infrastructure • Better Research • Better Knowledge and Training • Better nutrition

  28. : “If today’s agricultural business as usual continues on the continent of Africa, by 2050 it will only be able to provide 13% of its food needs.” The Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Programme (CAADP)

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