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Learn how utilizing statistics and statisticians in policy enforcement can significantly enhance inspection services. Discover the benefits of data mining, predictive modeling, and automatic plate recognition in improving accuracy and reducing false positives. Explore success stories of social benefits and organized VAT fraud interventions. Understand the crucial role of data in augmenting government operations and the importance of attracting and retaining skilled personnel.
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Increased efficiency of inspection –Putting data to good usestatistics & statisticians at the heart of policy31 May 2013 Secretary of State John Crombez
Social & tax inspection coordination • Last 1,5 year • Hired more people => data mining • Build new systems • Research, the results ongoing • Beware : data mining is not data mining • Less false positives more hits • Answer to a question from society
Putting data to good use • There is a treasure of data available • Laws : links & privacy • If put to good use • Efficiency enhancement of inspection services
Putting data to good use • Data matching • Data mining • Predictive modeling
Data matching • Automatic Number Plate Recognition – Car Registration Tax • Social benefits – ex ante controls
Social benefits • Cumulating unemployment benefits and employment income • A priori controls since 2010 – data matching • Dramatic drop in infractions – ex post controls
Data mining • Social Intelligence and Investigation Service (SIOD) • Special Tax Inspection Service (BBI)
SIOD Fraud risk score
BBI – Organised VAT Fraud • Approach • Year 2000 • Annual loss = 1.1 billion • Situation "out of control" • Joint venture M. of F. & Fed. Police in 2001 • Small team • Develops risk analysis and data mining
so • Stats and data at the heart of efficiency increase of gov ops • Possible to attract and maintain right people and skills? • Acceptance of new systems?