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Peak Oil

Peak Oil. 1. Transition Training 2008. 2. Typical Oil Well. Transition Training 2008. 3. Two Typical Oil Fields. Forties Field UK Sector North Sea. Prudhoe Bay, Alaska. Transition Training 2008. Peak Production Follows Peak Discovery. 4. USA. Russia. Indonesia. Egypt.

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Peak Oil

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  1. Peak Oil 1 Transition Training 2008

  2. 2 Typical Oil Well Transition Training 2008

  3. 3 Two Typical Oil Fields Forties Field UK Sector North Sea Prudhoe Bay, Alaska Transition Training 2008

  4. Peak Production Follows Peak Discovery 4 USA Russia Indonesia Egypt Transition Training 2008

  5. 5 UK Production Profile Transition Training 2008

  6. Global Oil Discovery and Production 6 Transition Training 2008

  7. 7 When Is The Global Oil Peak? Transition Training 2008

  8. Oil producers (98) 8 Post peak oil producers (64) www.lastoilshock.com Transition Training 2008

  9. Exports from oil producers 9 Transition Training 2008

  10. 80:20 Rule The world’s giant oilfields are in steep decline 10 Transition Training 2008

  11. 11 WHERE WE GET OUR ENERGY Source: ExxonMobile web site Transition training 2008

  12. 12 If peak oil was imminent, what sorts of things would be happening as warning signs ‘the Canary in the Coal mine’? Transition training 2008

  13. 13 Why Is Oil So Important? How Many Men Does It Take To Push a Car? Transition Training 2008

  14. Transition Training 2007 14 What Do We Use Oil For? Transition Training 2008

  15. 15 No Country Has Yet Decoupled Economic Growth From Energy Use Transition Training 2008

  16. The atmosphere holds about 750 GtC Dead Organisms Vegetation about 600 GtCSoils 1600 GtC Oceans 40,000 GtC Fossil CO2 16 The Carbon Cycle Transition Training 2007

  17. What Is Climate Change? 17 Transition Training 2007

  18. 18 Is it Proven? Transition Training 2007

  19. What are the main problems with out of control CC? 19 Transition Training 2007

  20. Ron Oxburgh 20 CO2 Levels Over the Past 60000 Years 381 ppm 2006 Transition Training 2007

  21. The Urgent Need for a Response 21 Transition Training 2007

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  24. Responses to Peak Oil & Climate Change 23 • CLIMATE CHANGE • Climate engineering • Carbon capture and storage • International emissions trading • Climate adaptation • Nuclear power • PEAK OIL • Burn everything! • Relaxed drilling regulations • Biofuels • Tar sands and non- conventional oils • Resource nationalism • Resource Wars • P O + C C = • Systems Re-Think • Planned Relocalization • Local Resilience • Energy Descent • Action Plan

  25. fini

  26. Peak Oil & Climate Change • PLANNED RELOCALISATION • local resilience • carbon reduction • consume closer to home • produce closer to home • play closer to home • decentralised energy infrastructure • the Great Reskilling • localised food • local medicinal capacity • local currencies • Energy Descent Plans • CLIMATE CHANGE • (a la Stern et al.) • climate engineering • carbon capture and storage • tree-based carbon offsets • international emissions trading • climate adaptation • improved transportation logistics • nuclear power • PEAK OIL • (a la Hirsch et al.) • coal to liquids • gas to liquids • relaxed drilling regulations • massively scaled biofuels • tar sands and non-conventional oils • resource nationalism and stockpiling

  27. What can be done? • Global • Oil Depletion Protocol • Contraction and Convergence • Kyoto • National • TEQs, Cap & Share (energy rationing) • Community • Transition Towns, cities, villages, rural • Personal • “The work that reconnects” • lessons from addiction counselling • getting Gaia’ed

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