VECCs Variable Energy Content Curves
VECCs Variable Energy Content Curves. Nancy Stephan Bonneville Power Administration RMJOC Climate Change Data Set Workshop June 9, 2009. What are they?.
VECCs Variable Energy Content Curves
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Presentation Transcript
VECCsVariable Energy Content Curves Nancy Stephan Bonneville Power Administration RMJOC Climate Change Data Set Workshop June 9, 2009
What are they? End of Month contents of a reservoir that is the lowest level to which the reservoir may be drawn in order to produce secondary energy and still refill by the end of July with 95% confidence.
Why are they computed? • The VECC computation is done to update the 95% confidence lower limits for new forecast information. In this case VECC’s are computed after the release of each official Water Supply Forecasts. • The computed VECC’s are then input to the Treaty Storage Regulation (TSR) computation. • The computed VECC’s for the Canadian projects are also passed to Northwest Power Pool (NWPP) to include in the Actual Energy Regulation (AER).
What will need to be developed? • CC water supply forecasts • CC forecast errors • CC runoff distributions • Mica, Arrow, Duncan, Dworshak, Libby, Grand Coulee, Hungry Horse