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Chapter 16. Capital Structure. LEARNING OBJECTIVES. 1. Explain why borrowing rates are different based on ability to repay loans. 2. Demonstrate the benefits of borrowing. 3. Calculate the break-even EBIT for different capital structure.
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Chapter 16 Capital Structure
LEARNING OBJECTIVES • 1. Explain why borrowing rates are different based on ability to repay loans. • 2. Demonstrate the benefits of borrowing. • 3. Calculate the break-even EBIT for different capital structure. • 4. Explain the appropriate borrowing strategy under the pecking order hypothesis. • 5. Define optimal borrowing in a world of no taxes. • 6. Explain the static theory of capital structure.
Chapter 16: Using other people’s money • Why do we borrow? • Consume today on future income • Households currently have almost $16 trillion in outstanding loans • Does it matter where we get our money? • What makes a good source of funds when we borrow? • Lowest cost for funds • Implicit costs can be very expensive • Is there an optimal borrowing strategy? • Reduce overall costs with a different borrowing pattern
16.1 Capital Markets • In the corporate world…two major markets for borrowing • From banks and bond markets – Debt Markets • From owners – Equity Markets • Borrowers get different rates from these two markets • Debt market – different yield to maturities on bonds • Debt market – different loan rates from banks • Equity market – different return rates for stocks • Ability to pay back loan impacts the rate • Lenders (and owners) look at the future cash flow
16.1 Capital Markets • Different Rates for Different Borrowers • Success rate for Angel Investors – impact returns • Example 16.1 in the book Larry and Sherry • Larry is successful on four in ten investments • Sherry is successful on one in ten investments • Required Return on $1,000,000 ($100,000 for each of ten projects) • Larry gets four to payback…each must pay $250,000 so rate is ($250,000 - $100,000) / $100,000 = 150% • Sherry gets only one to payback…it must pay $1,000,000 so rate is ($1,000,000 - $100,000) / $100,000 = 900%
16.2 Benefits of Borrowing • Who would every pay Sherry 900% on a loan? • You have a project with a 25% chance of making $5,000,000 and a 75% chance of making $0 • No banks or friends will loan you the money • Sherry offers 900% rate for the needed $100,000 investment • Do you take the loan? • Expected Payoff… • 25% x $5,000,000 - $1,000,000 = $250,000 • But…either you make $4,000,000 or you lose $100,000 • Financial Leverage…using other people’s money
16.2 Benefits of Borrowing • How do we measure financial leverage in a company? • Leverage is the amount of debt borrowed versus the amount of funds from the owners • Highly leveraged firms have high Debt to Equity ratios • Unlevered firms use only equity financing • How do we measure the benefits to a company from debt borrowing? • Earnings Per Share • Does borrowing increase or decrease the owner’s wealth?
16.2 Benefits of Borrowing • Page 494-497 • Three companies with different Debt / Equity Ratios • Company 1 is unlevered (all equity, 400 shares) • Company 2 is 50 / 50 debt and equity (200 shares) • Company 3 is levered to the max (1 share) • High EBIT -- $2,000 Company 3 structure is best • Low EBIT -- $800 Company 1 structure is best • At $1,000 – All have the same Earnings Per Share • Capital Structure is irrelevant at $1,000
16.3 Find the Break-Even EBIT • Can only find this in a pair-wise fashion (can only compare two firms at a time) • Set EPS calculation equal under the two structures • Company 1 EPS = EBIT / 400 • Company 2 EPS = (EBIT - $500) / 200 • Company 1 EPS = Company 2 EPS, solve for EBIT • This in a world of no taxes… • Above the Break-Even EBIT more leverage (more debt) is better for the owners.
16.4 Pecking Order Hypothesis • Borrow from the cheapest source first • Once the source is “exhausted” move to the second cheapest source • Continue to additional sources as needed for funding once each level is “exhausted” • This borrowing hypothesis is based on asymmetric information • One set of agents (company managers and owners) know more about the future cash flow prospects of the company than the lending agents • Firms Prefer Internal Financing First • Firms Choose to Issue the cheapest security first • Firms Use Equity as a Last Resort
16.4 Pecking Order Hypothesis • Example 16.3 Rogen vs. Rudd Corporations • Facts: Outsiders think that the stock could go as high as $50 or as low as $35 but it now is fairly valued at $42 • Rogen CEO knows the company has a major break-through and stock will climb to $50 • However the information is proprietary • Rudd CEO knows they have a new product too but, will not cause a rise in stock prices • Competitors will be able to quickly imitate new product
16.4 Pecking Order Hypothesis • How do you finance the needed $50 million? • Rogen CEO cannot tell public about product and will not sell equity below the new $50 value once the product is released (transfer of wealth from original owners to new owners) as the new owners will only pay $42 a share without the inside information • Rogen CEO thus chooses to use debt to avoid wealth transfer • Rudd CEO knows stock is worth $42 but if he chooses to sell equity the market will pay only $35. New owners believe that Rudd would only sell equity if it is overpriced, thus the $35 is the correct price • Rudd CEO thus chooses to use debt to avoid wealth transfer
16.4 Pecking Order Hypothesis • Conclusion • Profitable companies will borrow less and signal more debt capacity • Less profitable companies need more outside funding and will first seek debt (avoiding wealth transfer) • As a last resort, companies will sell equity • While this Hypothesis has some support, we see many companies use debt when they have internal funding…
16.5 Modigliani and Miller on Optimal Capital Structure • Start with the simplest world…no taxes and no bankruptcy (firms never default) • M&M Proposition 1 – Capital Structure is irrelevant • Value of an all equity firm (VE) is equal to the value of a leveraged firm (VL) • Think of two pies of equal size, the value (volume) of the pie does not change when we cut it into smaller pieces • M&M Proposition 2 – A firm’s value is based on • The required rate of return • The cost of Debt • The firm’s debt-to-equity ratio
16.5 Modigliani and Miller on Optimal Capital Structure • The math… • WACC = (E/V) x Re + (D/V) x Rd x (1 - Tc ) • The required return on the assets, Ra, is equal to WACC • Ra =(E/V) x Re+ (D/V) x Rd • In a world of no taxes, the required return on assets is the weighted average of equity and debt • Re =Ra + (Ra –Rd) x (D/E) • The visual…page 504 Figure 16.3
16.5 Modigliani and Miller on Optimal Capital Structure • But the world has taxes…so what happens when we add taxes • M&M Proposition 1 – with taxes • All debt financing is preferred • Adding debt reduces the government’s claim to the pie • M&M Proposition 2 – with taxes • As the firm adds debt the WACC falls • There is a tax shield with debt • The bigger the debt the greater the tax shield • Visual is Pie Charts on page 505
16.5 Modigliani and Miller on Optimal Capital Structure • What is the tax shield? • The government allows the deduction of interest expense from taxable income (pays part of the interest for the company) • The owners of the company claim this tax shield • VL = VE + (D x TC) • Thus the owner’s value increases as a company adds more debt financing • See Figure 16.5 on page 507 • Optimal Capital Structure is now all debt
16.5 The Static Theory of Capital Structure • We now relax the last parameter…bankruptcy • When a firm borrows “too much” and cash flow is insufficient to cover interest payments • The company goes into bankruptcy • Technically the debt holders get the company • Bankruptcy costs • Direct costs are relatively small • Indirect costs can be large…takes the managers away from the required tasks and puts the company in financial distress • The greater the debt, the greater the chance of financial distress
16.5 The Static Theory of Capital Structure • As a firm starts to add debt…the tax shield provides wealth to the owners of the company (again cutting into the government’s share) and the WACC is falling across this range • At some point the costs of financial distress begin to enter as more debt is added • Eventually the additional $1 benefit of the tax shield is exactly offset by the additional cost of financial distress • At that point WACC is lowest and we have the optimal debt/equity ratio for the firm. • See Figure 16.6 on page 510