1. detroit Meteorology 415 – Fall 2012 Second Forecast Review

2. detroit Population (2010)[2][3] • City 713,777 • Rank 18th in U.S. • Density 5,142/sq mi (1,985/km2) • Urban 3,863,924 • Metro 4,296,250

3. detroit - OBS • KDET 052353Z 19004KT 10SM CLR 24/20 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP092 60000 T02440200 10261 20244 53004= • KDET 060053Z 17004KT 10SM CLR 24/21 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP094 T02390206= • KDET 060153Z 19004KT 10SM CLR 23/21 A2982 RMK AO2 SLP093 T02330206= • KDET 060253Z 18003KT 10SM CLR 22/21 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP091 T02220206 58001= • KDET 060353Z 25003KT 8SM CLR 22/21 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP092 T02220206= • KDET 060453Z 24004KT 8SM CLR 22/20 A2982 RMK AO2 SLP094 T02220200 402670189= • KDET 060553Z 26003KT 10SM CLR 22/20 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP098 T02170200 10244 20217 53007= • KDET 060653Z 27003KT 10SM CLR 21/19 A2984 RMK AO2 SLP101 T02110194= • KDET 060753Z 28003KT 10SM SCT095 21/19 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP104 T02110194= • KDET 060853Z 32004KT 10SM BKN100 21/19 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP106 T02110189 51008= • KDET 060953Z 35007KT 10SM FEW070 BKN095 21/18 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP107 T02060178=

4. Detroit – surface map

5. detroit- satellite

6. detroit -radar

7. detroit- radar

8. detroit- verifications

9. detroit– lessons learned • Look at the data! Observations do not lie • For a short fuse forecast – only so much can develop in a 10 hour period. • Continuity of features can be better than mesoscale models • Convection is unlikely to develop at night if there is no distinct trigger mechanism.

10. detroitscores