1 / 23

Fifth US Conference on Peak Oil and Community Solutions

This conference discusses the concept of Peak Oil, its implications on the global supply-demand gap, and individual and community solutions. Topics include Alberta Tar Sands, urban cities, changing cities, and individual choices.

sonjao
Télécharger la présentation

Fifth US Conference on Peak Oil and Community Solutions

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Fifth US Conference on Peak Oil and Community Solutions • Ron Rancourt, David French • Topics: • Peak Oil defined; • Review of the conference; • Individual and community solutions. • Presentation Available online: • http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  2. World Peak Oil defined • The point at which world oil production maxes out, and begins to decline forever. • July 2008 (we are at the peak)‏ • Geologist M. King Hubbert famously predicted US Peak oil in 1956, 14 years before it occurred in 1970. http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com 2

  3. World Peak Oil cont.. • A Global Supply-Demand problem • China, India growing, becoming more affluent • World oil sources are in decline • No significant new discoveries being made despite massive investment • Last remaining sources are in politically unsettled countries • Current exporting countries are keeping more for themselves! http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  4. There is only so much oil... Supply-Demand Gap http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com Source: www.aspo-ireland.org

  5. There is only so much oil... Supply-Demand Gap http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  6. http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  7. Implications • World demand on decreasing supply forces prices up • The cost of everything increases • No substitution for easily accessible, cheap oil • No technological quick-fix • If it wasn't for the current global financial crisis we would see $150/barrel oil today. http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  8. Alberta Tar Sands • Worst environmental disaster in Cdn history. • Consumes massive amounts of natural gas and fresh water to process bitumen • Can't meet demand • Other liquid alternatives to oil can't make up the difference either • EROI (Energy Return on Investment) on oil alternatives is too low http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  9. Alberta Tar Sands: Syncrude The Syncrude Canada oil sands upgrader facility in Fort McMurray (Larry MacDougal_Globe and Mail)‏ http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  10. http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  11. http://www.plancconference.org http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  12. Individual and Community Solutions • Plan C: Curtailment, Community • Individuals have most potential to make a difference: • Our Housing, Food and Transportation amounts to 2/3 of all personal energy consumption. • Eco-Village/Intentional Community options. • Local Food, local economy http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  13. Urban Cities • Cost to build and maintain roads, infrastructure and services will rise dramatically • Ottawa has and will postpone/cancel road/bridge projects due to high fuel costs. Transit is the way to go. • Buildings: Retrofit incentives required for homes and commercial buildings for energy efficiency beyond LEED, EcoStar. • Forward thinking? Time is running out. • Governments are slow moving, often stand in the way of progress. It's up to us. http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  14. Urban Cities • Poor design promotes sprawling suburbs • Expensive to service, maintain • Ottawa has unique characteristics: • Spread out East West • Greenbelt, since 1958, was intended to prevent sprawl, today it's used as an excuse to support it. • Developers, the OMB rule. http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  15. Ottawa People are starting to understand that the city's finances -- driven by rapid suburban growth, demand for more government services and sharply rising costs for those services -- are not sustainable. • Patrick Dare, The Ottawa CitizenPublished: Monday, November 10, 2008

  16. Changing Cities • Post Carbon Cities Guide • Take examples from successful cities around the world. • Fast-track energy reducing policies, incentives • Divert more money from road budget to rail transit, bicycle network http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  17. Changing Cities • Preparing for Peak Oil • A new guide for municipalities • By the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre (UK) and Post Carbon Institute • www.odac-info.org http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  18. http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  19. Individual Choices • Drive less, go from 2 cars to 1, share a vehicle with a neighbour • Smart Jitney, Vrtu-car, CommunAuto • Buy Local Food, share a garden • Insulate your house • German Passive House (heat it with a hair dryer!)‏ • Passive Solar space/water heating http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  20. House Insulation • Consider whole-house as a system. • Before replacing your furnace, look at your building envelope. • Air quality, humidity, energy use • Building practices past and future: • We were not concerned with leaky houses since energy was cheap. • Now we need airtight houses with smaller heating/cooling requirements http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  21. German Passive House http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  22. Solar hot water • Cost effective, shorter payback than PV electricity • H2Ottawa project to help people through the process - http://www.sustainableottawa.ca/ • Can be used with radiant floor heating, and combined with other water heating systems http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

  23. References • Passive House UK: www.passivehouse.co.uk • Ottawa Citizen Nov 10: City Cash woes veer out of control • http://www.canada.com/ottawacitizen/news/city/story.html?id=d160c2d0-1248-4536-9b93-c5bd444e5dff • Greber plan, Greenbelt, Ottawa history: http://www.teskey.com/ottawa/ • Peak Oil Analysis • http://theoildrum.com • Association for the stufy of Peak Oil & Gas (ASPO): www.peakoil.net • www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net • Response to Peak Oil • http://www.postcarbon.org • http://postcarboncities.net • Reports from other cities (Hamilton), provinces, states that are taking action: http://postcarboncities.net/peakoilactions http://ontariopeak.wordpress.com

More Related