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The Last Lecture Perspectives Past Present Future

The Last Lecture Perspectives Past Present Future. Allen Schmidt. Beginnings. 1966 First MATC D.P. graduates First programming course at Whitewater FORTRAN language Punched cards, typewriter.

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The Last Lecture Perspectives Past Present Future

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  1. The Last LecturePerspectivesPast Present Future Allen Schmidt

  2. Beginnings • 1966 • First MATC D.P. graduates • First programmingcourse at Whitewater • FORTRAN language • Punched cards, typewriter Average Cost of new house $14,200.00 Average Income per year $6,900.00 Gas per Gallon 32 cents Average Cost of a new car $2,650.00

  3. Perspective 31 years later, bought a first digital camera • $499.99 (under capital budget) • 20 shots • 640 X 480 resolution • Within 10 years, cameras better than film • Film disappearing • More memory than the mainframe!

  4. MATC Beginnings • Fall, 1979 (31 years ago) 1979 1966 Average Cost of new house $58,100.00$14,200.00 Average Income per year $17,500.00 $6,900.00 Gas per Gallon .86 .32 Average Monthly Rent $ 280.00 Sony Walkman $ 200.00

  5. 2010 • Cars - $ 25,000 on average • Google is 11 years old ($550 per share) • Twitter is 4 years old • Facebook has had more hits than Google (March, 2010)

  6. 1979: Downtown MATC • Room 421 of what is now space • No cell phones, personal technology • Shared telephone • Room 422 had ceiling debris falling into it • Hot, blacktop roof (held a class outside) • Advantage: State Street (lunch at Rennebohm's)

  7. IT Instructor Office: Room 421 (Currently does not exist)

  8. Room 421 ConvenientHandout Storage(ladder needed) Paper Based CodingListings CodingSheets?

  9. Room 421 First dollar Professor Walski Whiteout “Bookcase” Project 5

  10. Technology • Overhead projector • Card punch • UNIVAC mainframe • 2 MB memory • 8 hour turnaround time for students • Focus on “desk checking” • Now: Spring 2010: All apps from the mainframe have been removed

  11. Compared to… • At Colorado Mountain College (1974 - 1979) • Once a week turnaround • Put card deck and keypunch instructions on a bus to Glenwood Spring, got a listing back • Second year: System 3 • Taught RPG Punched cardswill travel

  12. Systems Analysis • Now: Currently object-oriented UML, Ajax and other advanced topics • Then: • Taught how to use a card sorting machine • Batch processing

  13. Courses • Then • Assembler • COBOL • Fortran (DP Math Analysis 2 – Statistics) • Basic (DP Math Analysis 2 – Statistics) • Computer Concepts • Principles of DP (taught to non-majors) • COBOL and RPG in one course • Computer concepts

  14. Courses • Now • Object-Oriented Web languages • Java • .Net • PHP • HTML • XML • O-O Analysis and design • Oracle • AJAX • iPhone App Development

  15. DPMA & Social Events • Very active chapter • Students (under the leadership of Mary Burns) held a beer party in the downtown student union, Scanlon Hall • Spring Picnic was held at Vilas Park • Packed with students • Volunteers received T-shirts • Now: Campus Cookout (the world is safer…)

  16. Lectures • Used overhead projectors • Evening classes went until 8 PM • No in-class labs • Systems analysis course did not have labs • Taught in the Esplanade building across the street

  17. Economic troubles • Now • Difficult economic times • High unemployment • People need new skills • Re-training older workers

  18. Economic troubles: Farming Then First floor of the old MATC Downtown (now space) (If video does not play, click Farming Video link on Web site)

  19. Grading System • Now • Blackboard provides scores and grades on the Web • Then • We had a automated computer grading system • Produced sorted reports • Feedback for students • Grades were taped on the wall outside the office • For “security” they omitted the name but were in name order sequence • Identified students by posted social security number

  20. Distractions • Students in 2010 are distracted by the Web • Playing games • Surfing the Web • They get lower grades, or drop the course • Tech-enabled multitasking: A time waste? • About 28 percent of an office worker's time is lost • 65 million U.S. knowledge workers • Average knowledge worker's salary: $21+/hour • Interruptions cost the U.S. about $900 billion per year • Out of a gross domestic product of about $14.5 trillion

  21. Distractions Then • In the 1980s there were also distractions… • Room 386 windows faced the Highway 51 drive-in movie theater • During breaks, watch the movies

  22. Personal Computers • IBM PCs created in 1980 • MATC got them in 1984 or so • Advanced: Had dual 5 ¼ inch floppies • No hard drive • Later… • Hard drives • Zip drives • IBM’s OS/2 • Virtualization: OS/2 ran Windows 3.1 • The impact of all this technological change…

  23. Cyber Waste • 3 billion units of consumer electronics will potentially become scrap between 2003-2010 • 300 million computers discarded by 2008 • Have enough mercury to poison the Great Lakes 8 times over • Pile of obsolete computers would make a 22 story mountain that covers the city of Los Angeles

  24. Main Lecture: Data Warehouse • Data is from multiple sources • Must have “data hygiene” getting the data to conform to the warehouse • The data is usually obtained from many different sources • Needs to be made uniform • Covers a large span of time • It is organized for queries : • For efficient data retrieval • Around subjects • Data mining software searches for patterns and trends that are not normally seen

  25. Student Grade Data Warehouse • Personal Project: All students in my classes • Data is from multiple sources • Copied from mainframe • Prior to 1986, scanned, keyed in • After 2002, from Peoplesoft • Data hygiene • Sorted, check for multiple name spelling • Change of name due to marriage, etc. • Added gender • Time span: 1979 - 2010

  26. Results • Number of students taught • Number of class-students • Number of classes taught • Number passing with a specific grade • Number of male/female • Trends by year

  27. Quiz: How many total student in classes (each student in a class)? A. 3127 B. 3241 C. 3926 D. 4289 E. 6085

  28. Number of Students • Total class students (one student in one class) • 6085 • Unique students • 3733 • Most classes taken by a single student • 15 (Randall)

  29. Computer Lab Courses CoursesWithout Labs Impact of Y2K Start of Advising and other activities

  30. Courses Taught Course Name Count Systems Analysis 1601 CICS 773 Programming 3 772 Advanced Website Development 598 Systems Design 464 DP Math 1 358 Programming 2 340 Access, Database 318 Computer Concepts 243 Principles of DP 178 Programming 1 Assembler 134 Website Development 133 DP Math 2 - Statistics 110 Online JavaScript 28 Job Search 26 Project Management 9

  31. Quiz: Overall, what percent of the students have been women? A. 23% B. 28% C. 32% D. 38% E. 44%

  32. By Gender • Gender Count Percent • F 2560 43.6 • M 3310 56.4 • Total 5870

  33. Low Number of IT Jobs

  34. Results:

  35. Results: Time • Time spent correcting projects • Assume 5 projects per class • 6085 X 5 = 30,425 projects corrected • Assume 12 minutes average per project • 6085 Students • 6085 X 5 X 12 = 365,100 minutes 6085 hours 761 8 hour days 4 academic years (190 days/year)

  36. Results: Time • Time spend lecturing • 31 Years • 16 weeks of lecture • Average of 15 hours per week of lecture • 31 X 16 X 15 = 7440 hours 930 8 hour days

  37. Perspective • However, the focus is on students, each one as a unique individual • Each one with unique abilities and needs • Watermelon • Mom returning to college • Cornrows • Responsibilities of adult life • Overwhelming at times • Sacrificing a grade • Jobs

  38. The future What will things nay be like 31 years from now…

  39. Change… • The change of change is changing • Health care • Technology • Education • New devices • New ways of doing things

  40. Change • It is said that 80% of jobs that current kindergarten children will hold have not yet be invented • New social media degree at MATC • 14 years ago, were these jobs available? • Chief Evangelist • Virtual World Bureau Chief • Brand Champion • Senior Interface Hacker • Blogger • Online Audience Development Manager • Social Media Strategists • User Experience Analyst

  41. Change • Would these headlines make sense 5-10 years ago? “Hackers silence tweets of devoted Twitter users” “Twitter Execs Assuage Developer Fears at Chirp Conference” “How Twitter's Promoted Tweets Will Work” “The 25 Best iPad Apps” “Facebook Launches Revamped Safety Center”

  42. Change • Amount of information is expected to double every 72 hours in 2010 • Where will it go from here… • It’s impossible to know all the available information • With more information, we become more specialized • Spend more time learning • What we teach is more specialized

  43. Change • Pattern of change • Starts with “Wow, that’s amazing” • Becomes a state-of-the-art feature • Becomes an extra feature • Becomes a ordinary feature • Is commonplace

  44. Change and Disruption • With our technology, disruption occurs • Some beneficial, some not so beneficial • Half of Americans expect newspapers to become extinct • Who is challenging who… • IBM →Microsoft →Google →Facebook → • What has Netflix done to video rental stores? • GPS systems, location aware Web apps • How will our world change in the next 31 years?

  45. Change • 85% of Americans have high-speed internet • Nearly 50% of Americans 12+ years have a social networking profile (double that of 2 years ago) • 80% of 18-24 year old, have online profiles • For the first time, Americans say that the Internet is the most important medium • Google considers Facebook the only serious competition

  46. Change: Health Care • Prosthetic arms and legs under control of a person’s brain • Nanobots: tiny robotic devices that work internally • May eliminate many serious diseases in 10-15 years

  47. Health Care • Researchers have developed a cocktail of ingredients that forestalls major aspects of the aging process • Scientists have unlocked the entire genetic code of two of the most common cancers • Could revolutionize cancer care

  48. Health Care • The Methuselah Foundation has launched a new prize to advance life extension and regenerative medicine • The NewOrgan Prize will be given for successfully constructing a whole new organ – heart, kidney, lung, pancreas or liver - from a patient's own cells • Their goal is to achieve this medical breakthrough within the next 10 years

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