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Introduction to Hypothesis Testing

Introduction to Hypothesis Testing. Definition Hypothesis in statistics, is a claim or statement about a property of a population. If under a given assumption, the probability of an observed event is exceptionally small, we conclude that the given assumption is probably not correct.

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Introduction to Hypothesis Testing

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  1. Introduction to Hypothesis Testing

  2. Definition Hypothesis in statistics, is a claim or statement about a property of a population

  3. If under a given assumption, the probability of an observed event is exceptionally small, we conclude that the given assumption is probably not correct. Rare Event Rule for Inferential Statistics

  4. Components of aFormal Hypothesis Test

  5. Statement about value of population parameter • Must contain condition of equality • =, , or • Test the Null Hypothesis directly • Reject H0 or fail to reject H0 Null Hypothesis: H0

  6. Must be true if H0 is false • One of three forms: , <, > Alternative Hypothesis: H1

  7. If you are conducting a study and want to use a hypothesis test to support your claim, the claim must be worded so that it becomes the alternative hypothesis. Note about Forming Your Own Claims (Hypotheses)

  8. For large samples, testing claims about population means the test statistics is: x - µx z=  n Test Statistica value computed from the sample data that is used in making the decision about the rejection of the null hypothesis

  9. Critical Region (or Rejection Region) Set of all values of the test statistic that would cause a rejection of the null hypothesis Critical Region Critical Region

  10. Critical Region (or Rejection Region) Set of all values of the test statistic that would cause a rejection of the null hypothesis Critical Region Critical Region

  11. Set of all values of the test statistic that would cause a rejection of the null hypothesis Critical Regions Critical Region

  12. denoted by  • the probability that the test statistic will fall in the critical  region when the null hypothesis is actually true • The probability of rejecting the null hypothesis • common choices are 0.05, 0.01, and 0.10 Significance Level of the Hypothesis Test

  13. Always test the null hypothesis 1. Reject the H0 2. Fail to reject the H0 need to formulate correct wording of finalconclusion Conclusions in Hypothesis Testing

  14. The mistake of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. • (alpha) is used to represent the probability of a type I error Type I Error

  15. the mistake of failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is false. • ß (beta) is used to represent the probability of a type II error Type II Error

  16. What’s true in Reality The null hypothesis is true The null hypothesis is false Type I error (rejecting a true null hypothesis)  Reject the null hypothesis Correct decision Decision based on Hypothesis Test Type II error (rejecting a false null hypothesis)  Fail to reject the null hypothesis Correct decision Type I and Type II Errors

  17. For any fixed , an increase in the sample size nwill cause a decrease in  • For any fixed sample size n, a decrease in  will cause an increase in . Conversely, an increase in  will cause a decrease in  . • To decrease both  and , increase the sample size. Controlling Type I and Type II Errors

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